Model Catalog
Economic, climate, combined, and multi-dimensional models available for scenario analysis and integration. Each model entry documents scope, projection horizon, key dimensions, and industry-specific calibration.
3
Economic models
4
Climate models
3
Combined models
1
Multi-dimensional
11
Total models
Economic
Macro & Policy Transmission Models
3 models
Model growth, inflation, investment, and policy transmission across industries. Use these to understand the macro environment, financing conditions, and how monetary or fiscal policy affects sector-level capital allocation and decarbonisation timelines.
Economic
Active
IMF WEO 2026 Baseline
Top-down macro baseline for near- and medium-term global conditions.
2025–2031
Global (195 countries)
Sector-level via aggregate decomposition
GDP growth
Inflation
Investment
Labour markets
Climate transition risk
+2 more
Growth
2.90
Inflation
3.10
Investment
1.90
Labor
0.58
Confidence
0.74
Best for: global baseline growth, inflation, and policy context
Economic
Active
FRB/US Policy Transmission
Detailed policy transmission profile with stronger financing and labor sensitivity.
2025–2032
United States (primary); internati…
Sector-level financing conditions and i…
Policy transmission
Financing conditions
Expectations channel
Wage dynamics
Credit spreads
+2 more
Growth
2.20
Inflation
2.70
Investment
1.40
Labor
0.64
Confidence
0.78
Best for: expectations-sensitive policy transmission and financing conditions
Economic
Active
NiGEM Global Scenario
International propagation model suited to multi-country shock analysis.
2025–2035
Multi-country (50+ country models,…
Country + sector via trade-flow decomposition
Cross-border spillovers
Commodity prices
Exchange rate dynamics
Capital flows
Trade fragmentation
+2 more
Growth
2.40
Inflation
3.40
Investment
1.50
Labor
0.60
Confidence
0.72
Best for: cross-country spillovers, stress testing, and trade fragmentation
Climate
Physical Climate & Hazard Models
4 models
Quantify physical climate hazards — temperature, precipitation extremes, sea-level rise, tropical cyclone intensity — and translate them into sector and asset-level risk. Span from near-term observational anchors (ERA5) to 2100-horizon ensemble projections (CMIP6, GFDL).
Climate
Active
CMIP6 Core Ensemble
Multi-model climate ensemble backbone for scenario-conditioned physical risk.
2025–2100
Global (50–100 km grid)
Grid-cell physical hazard; sector via a…
Temperature anomaly
Precipitation extremes
Sea-level rise
Tropical cyclone intensity
Carbon budget trajectories
+2 more
Hazard
0.69
Transition
0.57
Resilience
0.48
Confidence
0.77
Best for: long-run scenario diversity and physical risk framing
Climate
Active
ERA5-Calibrated Climate Baseline
Observed-state anchored climate profile for calibration-heavy use cases.
1940–2025 (historical); 2025–2030 near-term
Global (~31 km reanalysis grid)
Sub-daily observed state; facility-leve…
Observed warming trend
Precipitation variability
Extreme event frequency
Wind & solar resource
Drought & flood indices
+1 more
Hazard
0.62
Transition
0.49
Resilience
0.54
Confidence
0.73
Best for: historical calibration and near-term climate-state anchoring
Climate
Active
NOAA GFDL Physical Risk Lens
NOAA's process-based earth system models (CM4 and ESM4) — the physical process credibility anchor in CE's climate model library. Uniquely strong in coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics (tropical cyclone intensification, storm surge), high-resolution hydrology (river discharge, groundwater recharge, drought intensity), and ice-sheet-informed sea level rise projections beyond 2050. CE uses GFDL to constrain CMIP6 ensemble tails and validate compound event probabilities — the reference model for insurance catastrophe tail calibration and long-duration infrastructure asset risk in hydrology-sensitive sectors and coastal geographies.
2025–2100
Global (high-resolution ocean-atmo…
Process-level earth system; sector via …
Tropical cyclone intensity
Compound multi-hazard events
Hydrological cycle
Sea-level rise (ice dynamics)
Ocean heat content
+2 more
Hazard
0.74
Transition
0.52
Resilience
0.44
Confidence
0.75
Best for: hydrology, coupled earth-system dynamics, and process credibility
Climate
Active
CE Physical Hazard Cascade Model
CE's model for compound and cascading physical climate hazard risk — filling the gap between single-hazard probability models (CMIP6, ERA5, GFDL) and full combined climate-economy synthesis. Quantifies how co-occurring or sequentially triggered hazard events (drought + wildfire + heat; flood + infrastructure failure + insurance retreat) compound each other's economic impacts through non-linear mechanisms. Essential for sectors and geographies where compound event exposure is the dominant physical risk driver.
2025–2060
Global with regional cascade pathw…
Sector-level with geographic cascade pa…
Cascade Index — compounded multi-hazard loss amplification factor
Compound event probability — joint probability of co-occurring hazards
Recovery compression — how prior events reduce recovery capacity for subsequent events
Physical fragility score — sector and infrastructure vulnerability to cascade initiation
Hazard pair correlation matrix — which hazard combinations are positively correlated
+2 more
Cascade Index
0.74
Compound Probability
0.62
Recovery Compression
0.79
Physical Fragility
0.68
Confidence
0.71
Best for: quantifying how simultaneous and sequential multi-hazard climate events produce losses that exceed the sum of individual events — compound physical risk for portfolio stress testing
Combined
Integrated Climate-Economy Synthesizers
3 models
Blend economic, physical climate, and transmission signals into a single integrated view. The Balanced Transition Synthesizer provides the base-case framework; the Stress Fragility Overlay provides the downside boundary condition for portfolio stress testing.
Combined
Active
CE Balanced Transition Synthesizer
CE's primary combined model for investment-decision-grade sector analysis. Synthesizes physical climate hazard (IPCC AR6 WG2), economic transition risk (NGFS Phase 4), and sector transmission signals into industry-native composite scores — pressure, resilience, and opportunity — for six industry sectors. The default counterpart to the CE Solution Scale Model: where the scale model sizes the challenge, the Synthesizer navigates the response.
2025–2050
Global (sector-level synthesis)
Industry-sector with company-level path…
Economic pressure
Physical climate risk
Transition pressure
Transmission channels
Sector resilience
+2 more
Pressure
0.71
Resilience
0.56
Opportunity
0.74
Confidence
0.78
Best for: balanced climate-economy integration with transition and resilience weighting
Combined
Active
CE Stress Fragility Overlay
CE's dedicated downside stress model for portfolio risk assessment under fragmented, delayed, or emergency climate transition scenarios. Applies stress-calibrated component fusion to quantify sector fragility — the compounded exposure of high transition pressure, low resilience, and elevated cross-sector contagion risk. Use this model as the downside boundary condition for stress testing; use the CE Balanced Transition Synthesizer for base-case positioning.
2025–2045
Global (sector-level stress)
Industry-sector with fragility-weighted…
Stranded asset risk
Policy fragmentation
Cross-sector contagion
Regulatory shock compression
Insurance retreat risk
+2 more
Pressure
0.82
Resilience
0.41
Opportunity
0.48
Confidence
0.73
Best for: stress scenarios where policy fragmentation and sector fragility dominate outcomes
Combined
Active
CE Transition Opportunity Index
CE's dedicated model for quantifying which industries and companies stand to gain the most from the energy transition. Where the CE Balanced Transition Synthesizer measures risk-adjusted positioning and the CE Stress Fragility Overlay measures downside exposure, the Transition Opportunity Index focuses entirely on transition-driven value creation: clean manufacturing growth, critical minerals demand, adaptation services markets, and first-mover competitive advantage. The model completes the CE analytical framework — the other models tell you what to avoid; this tells you what to build.
2025–2040
Global with regional disaggregatio…
Industry-sector and sub-sector level; c…
Clean technology manufacturing growth (solar, wind, batteries, electrolyzers)
Critical minerals demand index (lithium, cobalt, nickel, copper, rare earths)
Adaptation services demand (flood defense, water management, heat resilience infrastructure)
Energy efficiency services market (retrofit, building management, industrial efficiency)
Nature-based solutions and voluntary carbon market opportunity
+2 more
Manufacturing Upside
0.78
Critical Minerals
0.82
Adaptation Demand
0.71
First Mover Premium
0.67
Net Opportunity
0.75
Confidence
0.74
Best for: identifying sectors and companies positioned to actively benefit from accelerated energy transition — the opportunity counterpart to the CE risk models
Multi-Dimensional
Cross-Cutting Solution & Gap Models
1 model
Purpose-built models that span economic, climate, and technology dimensions simultaneously. Answer questions that require combining the full model library — such as what total scale of climate action is required, how the full technology portfolio stacks up against the gap, and what a transformative breakthrough solution would need to deliver.