Institutional-grade climate risk intelligence, built for decision-makers who need traceable outputs — not advocacy dressed as analysis.
CE integrates physical hazard, transition risk, and macroeconomic feedback into one auditable platform. Every model output is traceable to its source data, every assumption is documented in the registry, and every model declares its scope of validity and known limitations. Aligned with IPCC AR6, NGFS, and IEA scenario frameworks.
Portfolio stress-testing under 1.5°–4°C pathways. Sector-level transition risk quantification aligned with TCFD, NGFS, and ISSB disclosure frameworks.
Scenario-driven risk models with documented equations, calibration sources, and known failure modes. IPCC AR6 and NGFS scenario alignment built in.
Infrastructure constraints, permitting backlogs, supply chain exposure, and policy execution gaps modelled as operational first-order inputs — not footnotes.
Decision Workflows
Six operational entries — verb-first, workflow-oriented, each with traceable assumptions and reproducible outputsTransmission capacity constraints, renewable integration limits, peak demand scenarios, interconnection queues, and reserve margin analysis for ERCOT, MISO, PJM, and international grids under 1.5°C–4°C transition pathways.
Sea level rise compound scenarios, insurance withdrawal dynamics, property value decline pathways, fiscal stress for coastal municipalities, and sovereign exposure to climate-driven real estate disruption through 2050.
Hard mandate scenarios for steel, cement, chemicals, and heavy manufacturing. CAPEX economics, green premium trajectories, competitive exposure, employment dislocation, and regional economic disruption under 2030 and 2050 targets.
Demand surge modelling from large-scale AI infrastructure deployment. Grid stability impact, water stress co-location, peak load scenarios, and 2030–2040 load growth trajectories for ERCOT, PJM, and data center concentration zones.
Thermoelectric cooling constraints, drought co-location risk for solar and data centers, agricultural water competition, and cascading stress scenarios for regions where energy transition intersects with water scarcity.
Cascade failure propagation across electricity, water, transport, and financial systems. Compound climate stress scenarios, critical infrastructure interdependencies, resilience economics, and recovery pathway analysis.
Every reference framework documented with institution, publication year, and link. Attribution chains for all major claims.
Assumption RegistryExplicit listing of model assumptions with sensitivity notes, scope limits, and the calibration basis for each parameter.
Equation LibraryCore model equations exposed with variable definitions, units, and calibration sources. Not a black box.
Uncertainty MethodsConfidence interval construction, sensitivity ranges, known failure modes, and scope of validity for each model type.
Forecast Review RecordsQuantitative postmortems with predicted value, actual value, error percentage, benchmark comparison, and root cause analysis.
Reproducibility StatusScenario replayability status by run type. Archived runs contain full input parameter records.
Scenario ReplayArchived scenario runs with full parameter audit trails. Inputs and outputs preserved; methodology changes flagged.
Capability Registry APIMachine-readable status: Live / Prototype / Roadmap / Not-Implemented. Updated with each version release.
Featured Scenarios
Operational scenarios with documented assumptions and validation maturity — browse full library →Texas ERCOT AI Demand Surge
Acute electricity demand from large-scale AI data center deployment in ERCOT. Peak load, reserve margin erosion, water stress co-location, and grid stability interactions modelled through 2030. Sensitivity ranges cover 25th–90th percentile demand trajectories.
South Florida Coastal Exposure
Compound insurance withdrawal, property value decline, and fiscal stress from sea level rise and hurricane intensification. Municipal bond exposure, tax base erosion, and managed retreat economics across three SLR trajectories through 2050.
Industrial Decarbonisation Mandate
Steel, cement, chemicals, and manufacturing under hard emissions mandates. Green premium economics, CAPEX deployment requirements, competitiveness exposure, employment dislocation, and regional economic disruption across EU, US, and emerging market jurisdictions.