Historical Forecast Review and Accuracy
Quality and Governance
Learn why reviewing the accuracy of past forecasts is not an optional compliance exercise but a core analytical discipline. Build a working understanding of how CE surfaces historical forecast performance and how to use that evidence to calibrate confidence in future outputs.
Learning Objectives
- Explain why retrospective forecast review is integral to forecast quality, not separate from it.
- Identify the three dimensions CE uses to evaluate historical forecast accuracy.
- Read a CE forecast accuracy summary and identify where confidence should be adjusted.
- Describe at least three structural conditions that historically caused CE forecasts to be less reliable.
- Apply historical accuracy evidence to scenario construction and confidence calibration.