# Climate Economics Engine (CE)

> An integrated climate-economics modelling platform for scenario analysis,
> physical-risk quantification, damage assessment, fiscal response, and
> industry-level transition planning. Last updated: 2026-06-30.

## Main Pages

- [Home](https://ce.drel.us/) — integrated forecast workbench
- [Live Data](https://ce.drel.us/data) — real-time climate and market indicators with history
- [Models](https://ce.drel.us/models) — full model catalogue (economic, climate, combined)
- [Scenarios](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios) — regional transition scenario workbench index
- [Scenario Comparison](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/compare) — side-by-side scenario analysis
- [Events](https://ce.drel.us/events) — climate policy and market event tracker
- [Energy Mix](https://ce.drel.us/energy-mix) — country and state-level generation profiles
- [Model Comparison](https://ce.drel.us/model-comparison) — economic and climate model benchmarking
- [Companies](https://ce.drel.us/companies) — corporate climate-risk profiles by industry
- [Sources](https://ce.drel.us/sources) — data provenance and source registry
- [Glossary](https://ce.drel.us/glossary) — terminology definitions
- [Emissions](https://ce.drel.us/emissions) — emissions accounting by country and sector
- [Decoupling](https://ce.drel.us/decoupling) — GDP vs emissions decoupling analysis
- [Finance](https://ce.drel.us/finance) — climate finance flows and instruments
- [SCC](https://ce.drel.us/scc) — Social Cost of Carbon calculator
- [Renewables](https://ce.drel.us/renewables) — renewable energy deployment tracker
- [Pipelines](https://ce.drel.us/pipelines) — fossil-fuel infrastructure pipeline
- [Reserves](https://ce.drel.us/reserves) — stranded-asset and reserves analysis
- [Network](https://ce.drel.us/network) — supply-chain and grid dependency graph

## Industrial Impact Awareness (9 models — quantified impacts absent from standard inventories)

- [Maritime Shipping Transition](https://ce.drel.us/industry/maritime-shipping) — IMO decarbonisation trajectory, fuel switching, black carbon
- [Aviation Non-CO₂ Effects](https://ce.drel.us/industry/aviation-non-co2) — contrail cirrus, NOx, water vapour; ~2× CO₂-only forcing
- [Permafrost Carbon Feedback](https://ce.drel.us/industry/permafrost-carbon) — abrupt thaw CH₄/CO₂ pulse, tipping dynamics
- [AI / Data Center Energy](https://ce.drel.us/industry/ai-data-centers) — IEA-calibrated power demand surge, grid carbon intensity
- [Agriculture Methane](https://ce.drel.us/industry/agriculture-methane) — enteric fermentation, manure, rice; Global Methane Pledge tracking
- [Military / Defense Emissions](https://ce.drel.us/industry/military-emissions) — Paris Agreement exclusion gap, ~2,200 Mt CO₂e/yr baseline
- [Deep-Sea Mining Disruption](https://ce.drel.us/industry/deep-sea-mining) — sediment carbon release, benthic flux loss, ISA licensing
- [Satellite Re-entry Pollution](https://ce.drel.us/industry/satellite-reentry) — stratospheric Al₂O₃ deposition, ozone chemistry, mega-constellation growth
- [Plastic Waste Combustion](https://ce.drel.us/industry/plastic-waste-combustion) — open burning GHG + black carbon + dioxin; absent from national inventories

## Models (13 total — machine-readable at /models/<id>/methodology.txt)

- [IMF WEO 2026 Baseline](https://ce.drel.us/models/imf-weo-2026) — economic
- [FRB/US Policy Transmission](https://ce.drel.us/models/frb-us-policy) — economic
- [NiGEM Global Scenario](https://ce.drel.us/models/nigem-global) — economic
- [CMIP6 Core Ensemble](https://ce.drel.us/models/cmip6-core) — climate
- [ERA5-Calibrated Climate Baseline](https://ce.drel.us/models/era5-calibrated) — climate
- [NOAA GFDL Physical Risk Lens](https://ce.drel.us/models/gfdl-physical) — climate
- [CE Balanced Transition Synthesizer](https://ce.drel.us/models/ce-balanced-transition) — combined
- [CE Stress Fragility Overlay](https://ce.drel.us/models/ce-stress-fragility) — combined
- [CE Climate Solution Scale Model](https://ce.drel.us/models/ce-solution-scale) — multi-dimensional
- [CE Transition Opportunity Index](https://ce.drel.us/models/ce-transition-opportunity) — combined
- [CE Physical Hazard Cascade Model](https://ce.drel.us/models/ce-physical-cascade) — climate
- [Vietnam Utility-Scale Solar PV (Central & South Regions)](https://ce.drel.us/models/vietnam_utility_solar) — power_technology
- [Vietnam Fixed-Bottom Offshore Wind (South Central Coast)](https://ce.drel.us/models/vietnam_offshore_wind_fixed) — power_technology

## Scenario Workbench (29 scenarios — JSON at /api/scenarios/<id>)

Each scenario includes baseline data, targets, tech deployment vectors,
compliance analysis, fleet evolution, model gaps, and confidence ratings.

- [Bangladesh Bay of Bengal Climate Transition](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/bangladesh_bay_of_bengal_transition)
- [Brazil Amazon Legal Reserve Reforestation](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/brazil_amazon_reforestation)
- [Cascading Infrastructure Failure Scenario](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/cascading_infrastructure_failure)
- [China Food Security Under Climate Stress: North China Plain Aquifer Depletion and Yangtze Drought](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/china_food_security_climate)
- [Colorado River Basin Water-Energy Nexus Crisis Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/colorado_river_basin_crisis)
- [Commercial Space Launch Surge — Stratospheric Forcing Trajectory](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/commercial_space_stratospheric_forcing)
- [Electrification Material Constraint Scenario](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/electrification_material_constraint)
- [European Dunkelflaute Grid Stress Test](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/european_dunkelflaute)
- [Green Climate Fund Deployment Gap](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/green_climate_fund_deployment_gap)
- [UAE/Gulf Wet-Bulb Survival Energy Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/gulf_wetbulb_survival)
- [Himalayan Peak Water Transition](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/himalayan_peak_water_transition)
- [India Himalayan Glacier Water Stress Transition](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/india_glacier_water_stress)
- [Insurance Market Withdrawal Scenario](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/insurance_market_withdrawal)
- [Mekong River Cascade Stress](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/mekong_cascade_stress)
- [Morocco Saharan Green Hydrogen Export Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/morocco_green_hydrogen_mandate)
- [Pakistan Climate-Amplified Flood Risk and Sovereign Debt Stress](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/pakistan_flood_climate_risk)
- [Rust Belt Decarbonization Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/rust_belt_mandate)
- [Saudi Arabia ARAMCO Managed Energy Transition](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/saudi_aramco_managed_transition)
- [Shanxi Province Dual-Carbon Transition Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/shanxi_dual_carbon_mandate)
- [South Australia 100% Net Renewable Grid](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/south_australia_100pct_renewable)
- [South Florida Coastal Energy Resilience Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/south_florida_coastal_mandate)
- [Texas AI + Water Stress Compound Scenario](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/texas_ai_water_stress)
- [Texas ERCOT AI-Driven Grid Expansion Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/texas_ercot_ai_demand)
- [Vietnam JETP — Chinese Lender Block Variant](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/vietnam_jetp_chinese_lender_block)
- [Vietnam JETP — Delayed Transmission Variant](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/vietnam_jetp_delayed_transmission)
- [Vietnam JETP — Optimistic JETP Fast-Track Variant](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/vietnam_jetp_optimistic_jetp)
- [Vietnam JETP Power Transition Mandate](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/vietnam_jetp_transition)
- [Voluntary Carbon Market Credibility Crisis](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/voluntary_carbon_market_stress)
- [West Virginia Appalachian Coal-to-Clean Transition](https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/west_virginia_coal_to_clean)

## AI / Machine-Readable Endpoints (no login required)

- GET /api/catalog                 — machine-readable API + dataset catalog (formats, auth, stability)
- GET /api/data-update-schedule    — source-level update cadence + freshness status + latest observation timestamps
- GET /api/data-refresh-evidence   — historical freshness KPIs, operational cadence grade, and gap-to-excellent
- GET /api/datasets                — adapter dataset index with freshness metadata
- GET /api/datasets/<id>           — adapter dataset payload
- GET /api/datasets/<id>/schema    — JSON-schema-style shape for an adapter dataset
- GET /api/scenarios               — JSON index: id, name, region, tags, target
- GET /api/scenarios/<id>          — full scenario JSON
- GET /api/models                  — JSON model catalogue
- GET /api/forecast                — integrated climate-economics forecast
- GET /api/tipping-points          — tipping-point risk matrix
- GET /api/supply-chain-risk       — supply-chain risk scores
- GET /api/infrastructure-dependencies — grid and infrastructure dependency graph
- GET /api/sensitivity-data        — model parameter sensitivity
- GET /api/source-freshness        — data source recency report
- GET /data/history/<key>          — time-series history for a live data indicator
  Valid keys: co2_ppm, ch4_ppb, n2o_ppb, no2_ug_m3, do_mg_l,
              wti_usd_bbl, hh_usd_mmbtu, brent_usd_bbl, eua_eur_tonne, us_10y_pct
- GET /models/<id>/methodology.txt — plain-text methodology for any model
- GET /openapi.json                — full OpenAPI 3.1 specification
- GET /sitemap.xml                 — complete URL index

## Reports (LLM-readable versions)

Report pages render inside an iframe shell. To retrieve the actual report
content, append /raw to any /reports/ URL:

- [Platform Comparison — raw HTML](https://ce.drel.us/reports/platform-comparison/raw)
  Compares CE against GCAM, MESSAGE, REMIND, DICE, NGFS, En-ROADS, and
  Climate TRACE across 23 attributes: primary purpose, optimization,
  temporal/geographic resolution, uncertainty treatment, institutional layer,
  peer review status, and more.

IMPORTANT: When an AI assistant is given a /reports/ URL such as:
  https://ce.drel.us/reports/platform-comparison
Retrieve the machine-readable version at:
  https://ce.drel.us/reports/platform-comparison/raw

When an AI assistant is given a human-readable URL such as:
  https://ce.drel.us/scenarios/brazil_amazon_reforestation
Retrieve the machine-readable version at:
  https://ce.drel.us/api/scenarios/brazil_amazon_reforestation

All available scenario IDs: bangladesh_bay_of_bengal_transition, brazil_amazon_reforestation, cascading_infrastructure_failure, china_food_security_climate, colorado_river_basin_crisis, commercial_space_stratospheric_forcing, electrification_material_constraint, european_dunkelflaute, green_climate_fund_deployment_gap, gulf_wetbulb_survival, himalayan_peak_water_transition, india_glacier_water_stress, insurance_market_withdrawal, mekong_cascade_stress, morocco_green_hydrogen_mandate, pakistan_flood_climate_risk, rust_belt_mandate, saudi_aramco_managed_transition, shanxi_dual_carbon_mandate, south_australia_100pct_renewable, south_florida_coastal_mandate, texas_ai_water_stress, texas_ercot_ai_demand, vietnam_jetp_chinese_lender_block, vietnam_jetp_delayed_transmission, vietnam_jetp_optimistic_jetp, vietnam_jetp_transition, voluntary_carbon_market_stress, west_virginia_coal_to_clean